Articles: Who to avoid

saric2

Who to avoid March 17, 2017 0

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Happy St. Patrick’s Day.   Here’s who to avoid. Dario Saric $7,900 FD, $7,900 DK He’s the highest price he’s been all season, and his FP per minute are up about 20% over the last 10 games.  He’s set to get about 35 minutes tonight, but matches up against Harrison Barnes and the slow tempo Mavs.  The 76ers have averaged 199 fantasy points as a team and tonight they are projected for 194 (4% below).  Harrison Barnes has allowed 18% less fantasy points per minute to players he’s covered this season.  That’s better than Kawhi Leonard.  I’m not saying he’s […]
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boogster

NBA-Who NOT to play 2/23/2017 0

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Demarcus Cousins/Anthony Davis: This might be obvious, but there is no possible way the two most statistically gifted players in the NBA can play together and sustain the numbers they’ve been putting up.  Boogie was averaging 28, 10.6 reb and 4.8 assists, while Davis was averaging 27.7 points, 11.9 rebounds and 2.2 assists.  No two players have been able to play on the same team and average 20 and 10 since David Robinson and Tim Duncan 20 years ago.  I’m not saying they won’t be able to do that, I’m saying there is no way they can continue to average […]
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jokic1

NBA- Who NOT to play 2/8/2017 0

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Anthony Davis This one might be obvious and it might not be.  He’s 11,000 on FD and 9.9k on DK.  DK always does a sharper job of pricing making it at least a discussion on weather not to play AD tonight on DK, but on FD with an 11k salary he’s a sure fire fade.  He’s up against Gobert, who is flat out nasty on defense.  AD’s fp/min are down about 5% over the last 10 games and the Pelicans set to score 5% less than their average when Davis starts and plays at least 25 minutes.  He’s currently projected […]
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wiggs2

who NOT to play 2/3/2017 0

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Yesterday was interesting Fade on LMA- didn’t play Fade on Blake- kindof a fail, but also incomplete information.  At the time I wrote that he was covered by Draymond, so the matchup wasn’t true. Fade on Nick Young ironically on the night that FD had a “Swaggy slate” where you could only play one player at center (Nick Young) was spot on.  He scored 8 fantasy points. Here’s the who NOT to play list for today 2/3/2017 NBA 9 game slate. CJ McCollum He’s 7.8k on FD and 7.2K on DK.  He’s matched up against the up and coming Seth […]
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blake1

Who NOT to play 2/2/2017 0

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Yesterday’s fades- Ersan Ilyasova- projected 23.5 scored 25.5.  Other sites had around 30, so we believe a nice fade.  Jabari Parker scored 26.4.  We projected for 29, so another nice fade.  Harrison Barnes scored 27.9, we had for 26.5 so I’ll call this one a small win.  I saw other pro’s with Ersan and Barnes, so nice to have a different read there. So we’ll say 3/3 again.   Here’s today’s who NOT to play.  A little harder on a 4 game slate- but here it is. Nick Young He’s 4.3k on FD and 4.1k on DK.  He’s up against […]
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jabari1

who NOT to play 2/1/2017 0

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Yesterday fades on Kemba 35 FP- was one short of his projection.  Fade on Solomon hill – scored 7 FP- way below expectation.  Fade on David Lee- scored 15 on a 5.7k salary.  So 3/3 yesterday.  Slightly making up for my Boogie fades the other day.   Here’s who to NOT play today.   Ersan Ilyasova He’s matched up against Harrison Barnes and the Mavericks.  Phili is set to score 3% lower and HB has been a killer on defense this year.  Partly because of the Mavs pace, and partly good defense.  Barnes has given up 17% less fantasy points per minute […]
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solomonhill

who NOT to play 1/31/2017 0

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Collison did very poorly, booker was around average and Boogie broke my heart for the second straight night. 6 game slate tonight- Here’s who NOT to play. Solomon Hill Hill has played north of 30 minutes on average in the last 4 games and had a solid showing for it.  His price has gone up $600 on FD and $500 on DK.  He’s now 4.7k on FD and 4k on DK.  He plays against the Raptors team who is 4-6 in their last ten and DeMarre Carrol this evening.   A few things about Hill.  1) He’s got one of the […]
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dmc

who NOT to play 1/30/2017 0

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Happy Monday everyone.  6 game slate.  5 games at 730+ one at 6 PM EST. Darren Collison I wanted to get one for the 6 pm Game and this is it.  Collison is 5.1k on both fanduel and draftkings.  He’s directly matched up against TJ McConnell, who has had 15 starts this season for the 76ers.  In those 15 starts opposing point guards have done 12% worse in fantasy points per minute than they averaged coming in.  I know Collison has been about 5% better over his last 10 games, and his usage goes up without Gay, but we project […]
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boogs

Who NOT to play 1/28/2017 0

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The Memphis Grizzlies team (Other than Mike Conley) The five starters average about 101 points per game.  Tonight Vegas has them going for about 90.5 (10%+ less).   Unless there is a starter randomly sitting and a min priced backup is set to play 35+ minutes, avoid this team tonight.  All of the DVP’s positions 2-5 are highly negative as well OTHER than the PG spot.  George Hill is close to a neutral DVP which puts Conley in play.   Hill has given up 55 to Lillard, 70 to Russ, 58 last week to Payton 40 to Teague.  I think […]
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plumlee

Who NOT to play 1/27/2017 0

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Mason Plumlee Mason Plumlee is a terrible play at center tonight. Memphis gives up the least amount of points to centers in the NBA, and there isn’t a single stat they struggle in at this position. Plumlee is a below average center to begin with and is stuck with a bottom 3 matchup in the NBA tonight. In two games this year vs. the Grizzlies, Plumlee has combined for 11 points and 12 rebounds in 55 minutes. Completely stay away from the “Dough Boy” tonight.  Anthony Davis To start, Anthony Davis has been battling injuries all year long. While it […]
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