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simmons

DFS NBA Rookie Profile- Ben Simmons and John Collins. 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, NBA, NBA Cheat Sheet.
At this point, you probably know about the Ben Simmons of the world, but maybe you were kind of surprised to see someone play Dillon Brooks or John Collins against you.  This article is designed to get you up to speed on the rookies in the NBA and their DFS impact.   Let’s start with Ben Simmons. He leads all rookies in points, rebounds, assists, steals and minutes played.  He also leads all rookies in fantasy points per minute.  He’s legit but probably won’t get a ton better in terms of fp/min this season as his number seemed to stabilize […]
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gb

DK Billion dollar QB/WR Stacks 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, NFL Articles, Strategy Articles.
88% of the time last year there was a QB/WR or QB/TE Combo 12% of the time a QB showed up on the perfect lineup without a WR or TE. Those weeks were Marcus Mariota and Colin Kaepernick Both weeks the QB’s had significant rushing games, meaning if you’re not going to stack a WR with TE you need the upside of a rushing QB. Here are the combinations of QB/WR stacks that were on the perfect lineups last year and the defenses they faced:   Brees/Snead (Oakland) Matt Ryan/Julio Jones (Carolina) Roethlisberger/Coates (NYJ) Brady/Hogan (Bal) Brees/Cooks (Arizona) Carr/Cooper (Tampa) […]
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broncos

Picking the DK Billion Dollar DEFENSE- What you need to know. 0

Posted by . Filled Under NFL Articles, Strategy Articles.
I’ll be publishing everything you need to know going into the first week on DK for their Billion dollar perfect lineup. Here are the defenses in last years DK Perfect lineups Defenses Broncos 3 Eagles 2 Rams 1 Vikings 1 Buccaneers 1 Bills 1 Steelers 1 Falcons 1 Chiefs 1 Chargers 1 Giants 1 Colts 1 Patriots 1 Here are defenses they went against to make the perfect lineup   Def. Against Tennesse 2 Minnesota 2 Rams 2 Cleveland 2 NYJ 2 Chargers 1 Washington 1 Arizona 1 Chicago 1 Jacksonville 1 Indianapolis 1 37.5% of the teams in the […]
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tolzien

Fanduel & Draftkings QB Ownership NFL Week 1 DFS 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, NFL Articles.
Player Pos Team Opp FD $ FD Proj Own % DK $ DK Proj Own % Marcus Mariota QB TEN OAK  $7,800                    16  $6,800                   14 Matt Ryan QB ATL @CHI  $8,500                    13  $6,900                   13 Ben Roethlisberger QB PIT @CLE  $8,200                    10  $7,300                    6 Derek Carr QB […]
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stanton2

Fanduel MLB DFS Big Fade 8/29 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, MLB Articles, Strategy Articles.
I’m not sure how Upton end up doing last night.  I know when I last saw he had 19 or so in the 4th inning making my big fade what exactly?  Doesn’t matter.  Follow the stats, trust your process.  Don’t be results oriented.  Don’t be the guy who says “I knew I should have played _____________ Fill in the blank.” What you really mean is-I wish that my players did better and that guy did worse. Here is my big fade for 8/29: Giancarlo Stanton 5.4k on Fanduel tonight. Fanduels salary algorithm, unlike Draftkings, is on a scale of recent […]
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upton

Tonight’s Big FADE tonight in DFS MLB on Fanduel 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, MLB Articles.
I’ll spare you “don’t play” Giancarlo Stanton at $5.2k on FD against Max Scherzer. Easy. I’m not saying he can’t hit a home run, that’s all he seems to do these days, but at no price discount, enjoy playing him. It’s not like he’ll even be under 7% owned in GPP’s. So easy fade there, but I’ll spare you that gem. Here’s a guy you’ll see elsewhere but not on DM. Justin Upton I ran 500 lineups tonight and he doesn’t make one. He’s $4,600 on FD tonight, a huge salary increases both because he’s hit well recently and he’s […]
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Screenshot_31

3 Running Back Studs and 1 Big Fade 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, NFL Articles.
I so badly wanted to make the title of this 3 running back pimps, but I didn’t have the gonads.  Here nor there just like with my QB article I’ll get right into the analytics of who I like at draftmanager for week 1 at the Running Back position. #1- LeSean Mccoy- 8.5k Vs. NYJ.  Vegas Projection Bills 24.5 Jets 17.5. McCoy has got to be the safest bet to me week 1.  Sure I like Bell against the Hapless Browns, but a few things there.  First the Browns ARE going to be better and second, that game reminds me of […]
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russmarriota

Your Top 2 NFL Fanduel QB’s week 1 with 1 Fade 0

Posted by . Filled Under Articles, NFL Articles.
It’s that time again. I’ll spare you the fluff, let’s get right into it. Big Ben will be chalky, but he’s also 8.2k on FD $300 from being the most expensive. I’m not saying I don’t like Ben, I’m just not going to write about him today in this article. #1- Russell Wilson. 8k @ Green Bay. Seattle Projected Score 23.25 Green Bay 26.25 Unlike other positions, there isn’t a huge gap between fantasy points scored and real points scored in relation to the spread of the game. A quarterback who is down by 20 will likely keep the ball […]
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Screenshot_30

Binomial Distribution in DFS 0

Posted by . Filled Under Strategy Articles.
The purpose of this article is to explain binomial distribution and how it relates to DFS. It’s a great tool to understand probability and variance. It allows me to properly manage expectations during upswings and downswings. Let’s jump in. You need 3 things: (N)- the number of events. For our purpose today we’ll call this the number of days we play dfs. We’ll make it simple and say we play one lineup a day, for x amount of days to get (N). (R)- the number of successes. For this example we’ll call those “wins”. Days in DFS where we show […]
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